The ever brilliant Mr. Van der Leun posted in commemoration of the death of John Kennedy a reminder that a man was not all that died that day. Kennedy rode through the streets of Dallas in an open convertible. No president or other Important Person has done so recently. Even the Pope had the bulletproof Popemobile after the attempt on John Paul II's life.
Today, the President, whoever he is, and the Vice-President, cabinet members and other "vital" politicians ride in vehicles that are veritable tanks on wheels. The Beast, as the President's ride is called, is resistant to bullets, bombs, and poison gas. Its tires cannot be flattened. It is vulnerable only to bad fuel or betrayal.
I'm not suggesting that the security around our national leaders be lessened, but one is inclined to suspect that the sense of isolation and invulnerability could lead to bad policy. As politicians found out during the Obamacare debate, for all their talk about "democracy", meetings with constituents can be uncomfortable if not intimidating. Most of these politicians are wealthy and have private security for themselves and their families as well as arranging for the presence of local law enforcement when the Secret Service is not part of the equation.
I suppose the question is whether they have armored cars because they think they are elite, or if they think they are elite because they have armored cars. In any case, in my opinion, the political class -- the self-anointed ruling class in America would be well advised to make themselves more approachable -- even if it makes them more susceptible to attacks.
I feel sorry for Gabrielle Giffords as she is a talking vegetable dragged around by her politically ambitious husband, just as I have pitied Jim Brady being used by his dreadful wife as a prop for Handgun Control Inc. But the fact is that people choose this life. Other people -- better people, in my view -- choose to become pilots, soldiers, sailors, and Marines and put their lives on the line at the behest of the man ensconced in the Beast with a lot less between them and death than the politicians have. Law enforcement personnel are at greater risk for death and grievous injury than the President. Though, as we have noted before, police officers are at number 10 on the top ten of hazardous occupations, far behind fishermen, loggers, pilots, and farmers. I don't see politicians anywhere on the list.
Not that I want to find out, but I have to wonder what kind of legislation we would get if the ruling class were really accountable to the serfs.
A prudent person foresees evil and hides himself, but the simple pass on and suffer -- Proverbs 22:3
Tuesday, November 26, 2013
Monday, November 25, 2013
A Report on Newtown to be Released
According to Fox News, the Connecticut State's Attorney will release a report on the school shooting in Newtown, CT last December.
The summary will deal mainly with the murderer's background and the police response. Most information about the events of that day is still sealed and unavailable:
I suppose some of the evidence might be too painful and gruesome for the parents and those close to the victims to read. Still, I have a hard time believe that is the bulk of the information. All suppression of information accomplishes is to feed into various conspiracy theories and make the thoughtful wonder exactly what is being kept from the public.
Fox follows the Bushmaster narrative:
That's not true. As my post about Obama's blood ballet from March of this year speculates, based on the available information at the time, not more than 105 of the spent shell casings could have come from the rifle. The remainder -- at least -- 49 rounds would have been fired from a handgun.
We would like to know the truth.
The summary will deal mainly with the murderer's background and the police response. Most information about the events of that day is still sealed and unavailable:
The report expected Monday afternoon will not include the full evidence file of Connecticut State Police, which is believed to total thousands of pages. The decision to continue withholding the bulk of the evidence is stirring new criticism of the secrecy surrounding the investigation.
Dan Klau, a Hartford attorney who specializes in First Amendment law, said the decision to release a summary report before the full evidence file is a reversal of standard practice and one of the most unusual elements of the investigation.Klau suggests that, rather than representing the state of Connecticut, the state's attorney is acting as a private attorney for the families of the victims.
I suppose some of the evidence might be too painful and gruesome for the parents and those close to the victims to read. Still, I have a hard time believe that is the bulk of the information. All suppression of information accomplishes is to feed into various conspiracy theories and make the thoughtful wonder exactly what is being kept from the public.
Fox follows the Bushmaster narrative:
[The murderer] killed his mother inside their Newtown home before driving to his former elementary school, where he fired off 154 shots with a Bushmaster .223-caliber rifle within five minutes. He killed himself with a handgun as police arrived. (Name redacted by me.)
That's not true. As my post about Obama's blood ballet from March of this year speculates, based on the available information at the time, not more than 105 of the spent shell casings could have come from the rifle. The remainder -- at least -- 49 rounds would have been fired from a handgun.
We would like to know the truth.
Thursday, November 21, 2013
Government Schools -- They Own Your Children
They just rent them out to you at night in exchange for your tax dollars.
Down in the Greenest State in the Land of the Free, Jim Howe was arrested for picking up his son from school on foot instead of in a car.
I'd be surprised if Howe's phone is not swamped with messages from ambulance-chasers who can smell the settlement money like a shark smells blood.
Folks need to pull their kids out of these government indoctrination centers.
As far as Deputy Aytes goes, I know his kind. They aren't bad guys; they just never pass up a rare opportunity to get a little spurt of testosterone. He is an idiot.
Down in the Greenest State in the Land of the Free, Jim Howe was arrested for picking up his son from school on foot instead of in a car.
Jim Howe, father of two children enrolled in South Cumberland Elementary in Crossville, Tennessee, arrived at the school on foot at dismissal time: 2:00 PM. But a new school policy states that students may only leave at 2:00 PM if their parents are picking them up in cars. Walkers must wait until 2:35 PM.The link includes a video shot by Howe's fiancee of the encounter between the father and a deputy sheriff/school resource officer, Avery Aytes. I can only imagine the carnage which would have ensued had this been my father back in the good old days. I'm not sure I would have been as nice as Mr. Howe if I had been in his place. Fortunately, this being the age of the ubiquitous digital image and sound capture, Deputy Aytes and South Cumberland Elementary can be seen by the world for the petty despots they are.
Howe maintained that the policy was meant to apply to students walking home by themselves, not students walking home with their parents.
“You don’t need a reason as a parent to go get your children,” he told school officials.
I'd be surprised if Howe's phone is not swamped with messages from ambulance-chasers who can smell the settlement money like a shark smells blood.
Folks need to pull their kids out of these government indoctrination centers.
As far as Deputy Aytes goes, I know his kind. They aren't bad guys; they just never pass up a rare opportunity to get a little spurt of testosterone. He is an idiot.
Wednesday, November 20, 2013
It Might Be Time for a Good War
So, Obama's approval numbers drop under 40%. Big deal. We're still stuck with him and his systematic destruction of private health insurance. However, it is interesting to see that despite the Dow playing tag with 16,000, the economy is not helping the White House Occupant. Partly, of course, because, apart from the runaway train that is the markets in which we are burning the furniture for fuel, the economy isn't doing that well. The Bureau of Labor Statistics seems to have published Bogus Lying Statistics last year to get a dramatic and inexplicable drop in the unemployment rate.
I've known a lot of good, solid, intelligent people who are or were government workers. It's not the majority. We don't have to assume malicious intent. Wait, actually we do:
Today's consumer spending report says October 2013 spending was up nearly four percent over October 2012. The market seems to like that -- well, except for the fact that it came from the Census Bureau. What a surprise that we might be a little bit leery of their numbers.
For a few days there it looked like the certain appointment of Janet Yellen as Fed Chair with her undying devotion to QE would check the pressure on bond rates. Looks like they are creeping back up.
It's a little known fact about Yellen that she play the dwarf Doc in "Snow White and the Seven Dwarves". George Carlin had a bit long ago about the drugs each dwarf used (emphasis added):
Sorry I got off track what I meant to talk about was Obama's polling. Yes, he is at 37% approval and 57% disapproval in the CBS poll used by Townhall. Obamacare is disapproved by 61% to 31% approved. Forget a fix. Repeal this monster.
The one I still can't believe is that 60% of the people in this country ever thought Obama was honest and trustworthy. That's what the polls showed during the 2012 campaign -- and that's why the liar won. In this latest poll, the number who think he is honest has dropped to 49%. That's still ridiculously high. Some may attribute his misleading "assurances" about the ACA to ignorance. But the fact is that he lied repeatedly and blatantly, about insurance, about the economy, and about Benghazi, among other things. If he had told the truth, his "signature" legislation, Biden's BFD, would never have gotten a vote in the Senate or the House.
Meanwhile, beware, as always, of distractions. The propaganda wing huddles in newrooms in Washington, New York and LA at this moment polishing shiny objects to pull across our screens, and nothing is as effective as a "Good War".
I've known a lot of good, solid, intelligent people who are or were government workers. It's not the majority. We don't have to assume malicious intent. Wait, actually we do:
Ironically, it was Labor’s demanding standards that left the door open to manipulation.
Labor requires Census to achieve a 90 percent success rate on its interviews — meaning it needed to reach 9 out of 10 households targeted and report back on their jobs status.
Census currently has six regions from which surveys are conducted. The New York and Philadelphia regions, I’m told, had been coming up short of the 90 percent.
Philadelphia filled the gap with fake interviews.
“It was a phone conversation — I forget the exact words — but it was, ‘Go ahead and fabricate it’ to make it what it was,” Buckmon told me.
Census, under contract from the Labor Department, conducts the household survey used to tabulate the unemployment rate.
Interviews with some 60,000 household go into each month’s jobless number, which currently stands at 7.3 percent. Since this is considered a scientific poll, each one of the households interviewed represents 5,000 homes in the US.
Buckmon, it turns out, was a very ambitious employee. He conducted three times as many household interviews as his peers, my source said.
Today's consumer spending report says October 2013 spending was up nearly four percent over October 2012. The market seems to like that -- well, except for the fact that it came from the Census Bureau. What a surprise that we might be a little bit leery of their numbers.
For a few days there it looked like the certain appointment of Janet Yellen as Fed Chair with her undying devotion to QE would check the pressure on bond rates. Looks like they are creeping back up.
It's a little known fact about Yellen that she play the dwarf Doc in "Snow White and the Seven Dwarves". George Carlin had a bit long ago about the drugs each dwarf used (emphasis added):
The seven dwarfs were each on different little trips. Happy was into grass and grass alone … Happy, that's all he did. Sleepy was into reds. Grumpy, too much speed. Sneezy was a full blown coke freak. Doc was a connection. Dopey was into everything. Any old orifice will do for Dopey. He's always got his arm out and his leg up. And then, the one we always forget, because he was Bashful. Bashful didn't use drugs. He was paranoid on his own. Didn't need any help on that ladder.You have to keep the boys supplied.
Sorry I got off track what I meant to talk about was Obama's polling. Yes, he is at 37% approval and 57% disapproval in the CBS poll used by Townhall. Obamacare is disapproved by 61% to 31% approved. Forget a fix. Repeal this monster.
The one I still can't believe is that 60% of the people in this country ever thought Obama was honest and trustworthy. That's what the polls showed during the 2012 campaign -- and that's why the liar won. In this latest poll, the number who think he is honest has dropped to 49%. That's still ridiculously high. Some may attribute his misleading "assurances" about the ACA to ignorance. But the fact is that he lied repeatedly and blatantly, about insurance, about the economy, and about Benghazi, among other things. If he had told the truth, his "signature" legislation, Biden's BFD, would never have gotten a vote in the Senate or the House.
Meanwhile, beware, as always, of distractions. The propaganda wing huddles in newrooms in Washington, New York and LA at this moment polishing shiny objects to pull across our screens, and nothing is as effective as a "Good War".
Monday, November 18, 2013
What We Are Up Against
Know your enemy. To that end, P.J. Comix of the DUmmie FUnnies, has long delved in the dark but shallow end of the intellectual pool at the Democrat[ic] Underground forum. This week, a DU regular criticized the Obamacare rollout.
Most of the responses are predictable. A couple, you might find enlightening -- including P.J.'s bracketed response:
There are some other good ones. Follow the link and read the whole thing, if you haven't seen it.
Another DU participant says put everyone should be forced onto Medicare, which will be bankrupt soon. In fact, Obamacare is an attempt to take some of the pressure off Medicare and Medicaid. It fails in that, too, as most of the people who have "enrolled" so far have been referred to Medicaid.
The posters at DU, like those at Free Republic on the Republican side, tend to be Political True Believers and party loyalists. Some, as noted by the second quote, are focused only on The Enemy and his destruction -- this is the case at Free Republic as well. They seem to think that if the other party could be eradicated, we would instantly enter a new golden age.
There is no hope in politics.
The first quote illustrates another problem. Yes, all of us who can understand a balance sheet and have any inkling of the rules of economics or grade-school arithmetic did know what the ACA would eliminate lower cost policies that did not include unnecessary coverage. That's true on both sides of the issue. Those of us opposed to the law said this repeatedly, and those who supported it denied it repeatedly AT THE TIME. In order to get the law passed, it's supporters -- to be blunt -- lied. Over and over again. They lied -- they would say -- for the greater good.
Of course, they will fail. The penalty -- which John Roberts traitorously called a tax -- is what the young and healthy, the single male who does not need maternity coverage, will pay. It's cheaper. Other people will be forced to drop their suddenly more expensive coverage. Emergency rooms and Medicaid will become more burdened. The insurers will not be able to cover the additional costs of pre-existing conditions. I wonder if maternity is now a pre-existing condition?
"The pregnancy test is positive."
"We should go buy insurance for the next year."
Most of the responses are predictable. A couple, you might find enlightening -- including P.J.'s bracketed response:
We all knew this is what would happen because it needed to happen. Healthy people will have to pay more to more equally share the burden. Single men would have to purchase pregnancy coverage to more equally share the burden. Young people would have to pay more to more equally share the burden. The ENTIRE plan was based on this logic.
[And this DUmmie says this like this is a good thing.]
...
I'd rather people with sh*t plans pay 10x more for new policies...than give the Republicans a win.
[The people who will now be paying 10x more for their policies--come next November, THEY are the ones who will be giving the Republicans a win. Bank it. And THAT is the realization that is giving Mr. Pitt the angst. He knows that this ObamaCare "fix-up" will NOT redound to the glory of the Democrat Partyin 2014. Will the Shill is, and always will be, a loyal party hack, and if that means having to throw Team Obama under the bus, he will do it.]
There are some other good ones. Follow the link and read the whole thing, if you haven't seen it.
Another DU participant says put everyone should be forced onto Medicare, which will be bankrupt soon. In fact, Obamacare is an attempt to take some of the pressure off Medicare and Medicaid. It fails in that, too, as most of the people who have "enrolled" so far have been referred to Medicaid.
The posters at DU, like those at Free Republic on the Republican side, tend to be Political True Believers and party loyalists. Some, as noted by the second quote, are focused only on The Enemy and his destruction -- this is the case at Free Republic as well. They seem to think that if the other party could be eradicated, we would instantly enter a new golden age.
There is no hope in politics.
The first quote illustrates another problem. Yes, all of us who can understand a balance sheet and have any inkling of the rules of economics or grade-school arithmetic did know what the ACA would eliminate lower cost policies that did not include unnecessary coverage. That's true on both sides of the issue. Those of us opposed to the law said this repeatedly, and those who supported it denied it repeatedly AT THE TIME. In order to get the law passed, it's supporters -- to be blunt -- lied. Over and over again. They lied -- they would say -- for the greater good.
Of course, they will fail. The penalty -- which John Roberts traitorously called a tax -- is what the young and healthy, the single male who does not need maternity coverage, will pay. It's cheaper. Other people will be forced to drop their suddenly more expensive coverage. Emergency rooms and Medicaid will become more burdened. The insurers will not be able to cover the additional costs of pre-existing conditions. I wonder if maternity is now a pre-existing condition?
"The pregnancy test is positive."
"We should go buy insurance for the next year."
Friday, November 15, 2013
No Gloating
Really, I don't know if Obamacare is going to be Obama's Katrina, Stained Blue Dress, No New Taxes, Iran-Contra, Iranian Embassy, Nixon Pardon, Watergate, Tet Offensive, or what. It doesn't matter. Those of us who have opposed the ACA and Obama's policies in general would certainly be glad to see this Frankencare monstrosity die an ignominious and fiery death. But I still think it is wrong to gloat.
At American Thinker, Thomas Lifson suggests "Obama's fallen and he can't get up".
Meanwhile, Fouad Ajami offers a WSJ editorial: When the Obama Magic Died.
There is a lot of truth to what is being said. Obama's blatant lies have been exposed. I am not sorry, but I am not celebrating. Correspondence from our Democrat Senator, Claire "Ma Hogg" McCaskill indicates that the left is still trying to focus on the "website glitch". The same can be gleaned from Obama's non-apology during his press conference. His subsequent speech in Cleveland yesterday was defiant. He will veto any bill that would offer a permanent fix, defund, or repeal the ACA.
Obama's solution is to make an executive change to the law to allow current policies to continue through 2014. Constitutionally, he has zero authority or standing to do this. This is legislation passed by Congress. It is, unfortunately, the law of the land, upheld by a Supreme Court decision. It is in effect. There is nothing he can legally do about it. If his "solution" is allowed to go forward, the rule of law in this country is not just dead but rotted and stinking. We might as well bury it, disband Congress, and accept Teh Won as Dear Reader.
It is hard to say whether Obama and his team are malicious or simply abominably stupid. Not that is necessarily an either-or choice. Surely no one in this country who has ever taken a class on the U.S. Constitution would be that purely ignorant. It looks like maliciousness with desperation a la cart.
At American Thinker, Thomas Lifson suggests "Obama's fallen and he can't get up".
Meanwhile, Fouad Ajami offers a WSJ editorial: When the Obama Magic Died.
There is a lot of truth to what is being said. Obama's blatant lies have been exposed. I am not sorry, but I am not celebrating. Correspondence from our Democrat Senator, Claire "Ma Hogg" McCaskill indicates that the left is still trying to focus on the "website glitch". The same can be gleaned from Obama's non-apology during his press conference. His subsequent speech in Cleveland yesterday was defiant. He will veto any bill that would offer a permanent fix, defund, or repeal the ACA.
Obama's solution is to make an executive change to the law to allow current policies to continue through 2014. Constitutionally, he has zero authority or standing to do this. This is legislation passed by Congress. It is, unfortunately, the law of the land, upheld by a Supreme Court decision. It is in effect. There is nothing he can legally do about it. If his "solution" is allowed to go forward, the rule of law in this country is not just dead but rotted and stinking. We might as well bury it, disband Congress, and accept Teh Won as Dear Reader.
It is hard to say whether Obama and his team are malicious or simply abominably stupid. Not that is necessarily an either-or choice. Surely no one in this country who has ever taken a class on the U.S. Constitution would be that purely ignorant. It looks like maliciousness with desperation a la cart.
Thursday, November 14, 2013
Gasoline And Alcohol Do Not Mix
Here is an anti-ethanol Sacramento Bee article from the enviro-weenie perspective.
It's not too bad. I am against the idea of the CRP program and payments from the government for fallow ground. We had very little tillable crop land on rough ground with thin soil. We grew hay and grazed beef and dairy, and raised a few hogs. It was commonsense. A government program was not necessary.
I am opposed to ethanol in fuel, in general. Despite the claims of many, ethanol is potentially damaging to engines, especially smaller engines. For my bikes, gasoline mowers, trimmer, and tiller, I buy premium with no ethanol which is available only at one station in the immediate vicinity. There are others at varying distances of fifteen to thirty miles. I am fortunate in the we have a drag strip nearby, and this station caters to the specialized fuel needs of the gearheads.
I am no expert, but I have talked to the mechanics who actually work on these engines. Every one of them hates ethanol in fuel.
Ethanol from corn is merely the stupidest of all stupid renewable "fuels". There is little if any net energy gain from corn ethanol because corn is so petroleum-intensive to produce. I suppose the leftover mash can still be used as a protein supplement in livestock feed. Producing ethanol is also a water-intensive process, and the waste water is considered a pollutant. At least that is what I heard when an ethanol plant was being talked about locally a few years back. There was a good chance that some of the shallower farm wells in the vicinity would have been ruined by the deep wells needed by the plant. Not all of the ground on this part of the old plateau has good hardpan so you could easily get ground water contamination down to the shale layer. Some older wells may not be cased through the shale, and just one such could allow the aquifer to be contaminated.
In other words, for once, for whatever reason, I agree with the enviro-weenies. It's time to end the ethanol mandate.
It's not too bad. I am against the idea of the CRP program and payments from the government for fallow ground. We had very little tillable crop land on rough ground with thin soil. We grew hay and grazed beef and dairy, and raised a few hogs. It was commonsense. A government program was not necessary.
I am opposed to ethanol in fuel, in general. Despite the claims of many, ethanol is potentially damaging to engines, especially smaller engines. For my bikes, gasoline mowers, trimmer, and tiller, I buy premium with no ethanol which is available only at one station in the immediate vicinity. There are others at varying distances of fifteen to thirty miles. I am fortunate in the we have a drag strip nearby, and this station caters to the specialized fuel needs of the gearheads.
I am no expert, but I have talked to the mechanics who actually work on these engines. Every one of them hates ethanol in fuel.
Ethanol from corn is merely the stupidest of all stupid renewable "fuels". There is little if any net energy gain from corn ethanol because corn is so petroleum-intensive to produce. I suppose the leftover mash can still be used as a protein supplement in livestock feed. Producing ethanol is also a water-intensive process, and the waste water is considered a pollutant. At least that is what I heard when an ethanol plant was being talked about locally a few years back. There was a good chance that some of the shallower farm wells in the vicinity would have been ruined by the deep wells needed by the plant. Not all of the ground on this part of the old plateau has good hardpan so you could easily get ground water contamination down to the shale layer. Some older wells may not be cased through the shale, and just one such could allow the aquifer to be contaminated.
In other words, for once, for whatever reason, I agree with the enviro-weenies. It's time to end the ethanol mandate.
Wednesday, November 13, 2013
Water Rights
I voted for Richard Nixon. Nixon started the EPA. Of all the stupid things he did, including floating the dollar, his establishment of the EPA and his declaration of the War on Drugs have been two of the most devastating in terms of their impact on personal freedom and private property rights.
According to PJ Media's Bridget Johnson, the enviro-nazis may be planning to use water to seize control of private land.
There was a rumor a while back that our state Department of Natural Resources was considering putting meters on private wells.
Forget oil. One of these days there is liable to be a war over water, unless some reasonable means of desalinization is developed.
Seriously, I don't think the big-government types understand. When I get really thirsty, I get a little crazy.
According to PJ Media's Bridget Johnson, the enviro-nazis may be planning to use water to seize control of private land.
The proposed rule, obtained by the House Science, Space, and Technology Committee in advance of EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy’s testimony at a Thursday oversight hearing, widely broadens the definition of waterways over which the federal government has jurisdiction to as little as a water ditch in a backyard.
The Clean Water Act redefinition of “waters of the United States” would include all ponds, lakes, wetlands and natural or manmade streams that have any effect on downstream navigable waters — whether on public lands or private property.
There was a rumor a while back that our state Department of Natural Resources was considering putting meters on private wells.
Forget oil. One of these days there is liable to be a war over water, unless some reasonable means of desalinization is developed.
Seriously, I don't think the big-government types understand. When I get really thirsty, I get a little crazy.
Tuesday, November 12, 2013
I Do Not Have A Wall Street Address
Every time someone wants to defend the Obama regime in the face of a low and possibly still declining rate of employment, a massive rise in food stamp participation, significant inflation -- especially in terms of food, and, of course, the expansion of government, they like to point to things like "35 record highs for the Dow" this year.
Artificially low interest rates and massive expansion of the money supply are ignored. Wall Street is prospering. We should "feel" rich.
This is another bubble, blown, in this case, mostly by the Fed's buying of government debt instruments with money that does not exist. Eighty-five billion a month is going to keep the government churning and the economy at a standstill. Despite their best efforts, bonds rose over the last week. Here's the chart from Yahoo as mid-afternoon on 11/12/13:
Debt service is still manageable, but if you want to look at it this way, you could say that about half of the deficit is a result of the interest payments. That means the higher the rate goes, the higher the deficit goes, and the faster we accumulate new debt that has to be serviced.
Just for fun:
Predictions are never right. I predicted skyrocketing inflation for March 2011. It didn't happen as dramatically as I expected because, I suppose, the overall weakness of the economy and the high unemployment rate. But we have had significant food inflation both in terms of the actual prices and in quantity reduction -- smaller packages costing as much or more than the larger sizes available previously.
So I'll make another ridiculous and undoubtedly wrong prediction: there will be a correction in the markets in January 2014. Initially I think the Dow drops back under 14,000 and the S&P goes under 1600 early in the year, rebounds a little going into summer and crashes more significantly to start the fall. This is not investment advice and should be ignored by anyone seeking to actually make money. Keep listening to the experts and ignore cranks like me. I know nothing. I'm just writing this down now, so I can look back in a few months and mock my own naiveté.
Artificially low interest rates and massive expansion of the money supply are ignored. Wall Street is prospering. We should "feel" rich.
This is another bubble, blown, in this case, mostly by the Fed's buying of government debt instruments with money that does not exist. Eighty-five billion a month is going to keep the government churning and the economy at a standstill. Despite their best efforts, bonds rose over the last week. Here's the chart from Yahoo as mid-afternoon on 11/12/13:
Debt service is still manageable, but if you want to look at it this way, you could say that about half of the deficit is a result of the interest payments. That means the higher the rate goes, the higher the deficit goes, and the faster we accumulate new debt that has to be serviced.
Just for fun:
Predictions are never right. I predicted skyrocketing inflation for March 2011. It didn't happen as dramatically as I expected because, I suppose, the overall weakness of the economy and the high unemployment rate. But we have had significant food inflation both in terms of the actual prices and in quantity reduction -- smaller packages costing as much or more than the larger sizes available previously.
So I'll make another ridiculous and undoubtedly wrong prediction: there will be a correction in the markets in January 2014. Initially I think the Dow drops back under 14,000 and the S&P goes under 1600 early in the year, rebounds a little going into summer and crashes more significantly to start the fall. This is not investment advice and should be ignored by anyone seeking to actually make money. Keep listening to the experts and ignore cranks like me. I know nothing. I'm just writing this down now, so I can look back in a few months and mock my own naiveté.
Thursday, November 7, 2013
Specialization Is For Insects
It's a great a line from Heinlein. I don't know if he got it from someone else, but I got "Anyone Can Learn To Be A Polymath" from Vanderleun's sidebar.
There are several points to be gleaned from Robert Twigger's article, but this falls near the heart of the matter for me:
A family friend and neighbor flew submariner hunters in the Cold War/Vietnam era. He's a pretty smart man and had a high rank with SHAPE in Belgium when he was done flying. My father completed the 8th grade. One day, our friend, observing Dad at some task there on the farm, remarked with admiration, that Dad was "a man of many talents." Of course, we thought that was funny. It is just what you have to do. Our friend has been retired for a number of years and running a livestock operation of his own. I'm sure he is now a man of many talents himself.
One of the nice things about the internet is that you can get information and instruction about how to do almost anything. So, now and then, it's maybe a good idea to take a break from the funny cat videos, and learn how to forge a big knife from a lawnmower blade. How about how to program in Python? Brush up on geometry? Somebody has to pick the slack for the Breaking Bad guy.
As Twigger's piece points out, the more varied our experience and knowledge, the more likely we are to come up with innovative solutions to problems. Fiddling around with tractors and other equipment has probably made me a better software developer, and my experience with software has undoubtedly helped me solve some mechanical problems. Don't be afraid to learn something new and totally useless. You never know when it will come in handy.
There are several points to be gleaned from Robert Twigger's article, but this falls near the heart of the matter for me:
Invention fights specialisation at every turn. Human nature and human progress are polymathic at root. And life itself is various — you need many skills to be able to live it. In traditional cultures, everyone can do a little of everything. Though one man might be the best hunter or archer or trapper, he doesn’t do only that.By all means, read the whole thing.
A family friend and neighbor flew submariner hunters in the Cold War/Vietnam era. He's a pretty smart man and had a high rank with SHAPE in Belgium when he was done flying. My father completed the 8th grade. One day, our friend, observing Dad at some task there on the farm, remarked with admiration, that Dad was "a man of many talents." Of course, we thought that was funny. It is just what you have to do. Our friend has been retired for a number of years and running a livestock operation of his own. I'm sure he is now a man of many talents himself.
One of the nice things about the internet is that you can get information and instruction about how to do almost anything. So, now and then, it's maybe a good idea to take a break from the funny cat videos, and learn how to forge a big knife from a lawnmower blade. How about how to program in Python? Brush up on geometry? Somebody has to pick the slack for the Breaking Bad guy.
As Twigger's piece points out, the more varied our experience and knowledge, the more likely we are to come up with innovative solutions to problems. Fiddling around with tractors and other equipment has probably made me a better software developer, and my experience with software has undoubtedly helped me solve some mechanical problems. Don't be afraid to learn something new and totally useless. You never know when it will come in handy.
Wednesday, November 6, 2013
The Art of the Lie
Do you wonder sometimes how leftists can get away with
serial lying?
Let’s look at Benghazi.
Whatever the Obama Regime was trying to do and cover up, they were
clearly involved in something they shouldn’t have been – likely trying to
recover arms they had smuggled to Al-Qaeda linked rebels to transfer to more
Al-Qaeda linked Syrian rebels. To cover
both that fiasco and maintain the fiction of an “Arab Spring”, they blamed a
video. When that lie was exposed, it
became “old news” and after all, we just had to do a better job of defending
the embassies. Hillary was
resigning. Forget it.
With Obamacare, we see a similar pattern. The lie was told over and over and over. People were convinced that they would somehow
get free government health insurance – which was never part of the plan. The vast majority of Americans – eighty percent
– were assured their health insurance would not be touched. Now that that lie has been exposed, they go
into the mode of trying to focus outrage on the deployment rather than the
nature of the actual problem. Policies
are being cancelled, but let’s all talk about the problems with the site.
Now the lie becomes how much better things will be for
people. Those who were cancelled had
substandard policies. That’s what Obama
meant. You don’t want those “bad”
policies. We know what you want. Very soon this lie will be exposed, and the
focus will go to the Republicans who won’t fund all the things needed in order
to make it work. The original lie is now
“old news”.
And so it goes.
It’s a lot like that old saying about sin: Sin will take you farther that you meant to
go; keep you longer than you meant to stay; cost you more than you meant to
pay.
Eventually what happens is that the electorate forgets what
caused the problem to begin with. We
were doing all right until Obamacare.
That messed everything up. Now we
have to have more government intervention to fix what was caused by government
intervention.
The lie is always about getting the focus off the cause and
onto an effect or some peripheral issue.
Tuesday, November 5, 2013
Prosecutors Who Should Be Prosecuted
I remember this very well. On Halloween night, 2001, the sport editor for the Columbia Daily Tribune (Columbia, Missouri) was murdered in the Tribune's parking lot. Two men were convicted of the crime under Boone County Prosecutor Kevin Crane -- a good law and order Republican.
One of the men, Charles Erickson, confessed to the crime, and, likely in exchange for a lighter sentence, implicated a friend, Ryan Ferguson. Ferguson, who maintained his innocence, was sentenced in 2005 to 40 years in prison. Erickson got 25 years.
Part of the case against Ferguson was based on testimony from alleged eyewitness, Jerry Trump. Trump was in prison at the time he identified Ferguson:
I would guarantee Crane knew all about it. As prosecutor, Crane was quite ambitious and wanted convictions at any cost. I had a little personal experience with Crane's office, so maybe I'm not too objective. I come near to hating those bastards. Because of the misconduct by Crane and his team and because there was no real evidence to link Ferguson to the killing, his conviction has, at long last, been overturned. This sounds fairly typical:
I suspect that is what Kevin Crane wanted, maybe because he is a despicable SOB.
An innocent man -- a kid, really -- has lost nearly a decade of his life to a prosecutor who just wanted one more scalp on his belt. I am confident that Kevin Crane and the other attorneys in his office at the time will never suffer much in this world for what they have done. I am also confident that some bright day all these creeps who think nothing of ruining a few innocent lives in their quest for position and power will have to face a righteous Judge who has all the evidence in hand.
One of the men, Charles Erickson, confessed to the crime, and, likely in exchange for a lighter sentence, implicated a friend, Ryan Ferguson. Ferguson, who maintained his innocence, was sentenced in 2005 to 40 years in prison. Erickson got 25 years.
Part of the case against Ferguson was based on testimony from alleged eyewitness, Jerry Trump. Trump was in prison at the time he identified Ferguson:
At the evidentiary hearing, Trump said Kevin Crane, then chief prosecutor and now a 13th Circuit Judge, called him while in prison and said it would be "helpful" for him to identify Ferguson and Erickson.
Crane's investigator Bill Haws talked to Trump while he was still in prison and also interviewed Barbara Trump. The prosecution is legally obligated to disclose all interviews to the defense attorneys. Haws did not file a report on these interviews and therefore Crane didn't necessarily know they took place, according to the opinion.
I would guarantee Crane knew all about it. As prosecutor, Crane was quite ambitious and wanted convictions at any cost. I had a little personal experience with Crane's office, so maybe I'm not too objective. I come near to hating those bastards. Because of the misconduct by Crane and his team and because there was no real evidence to link Ferguson to the killing, his conviction has, at long last, been overturned. This sounds fairly typical:
Chuck Erickson and Jerry Trump are the two witnesses who recanted their testimonies.
Erickson had been partying with Ryan Ferguson the night of the murder and in 2004 started having dreams that the two committed the killing. They were underage but had been drinking at a local club. Erickson also admitted to using cocaine, Adderall and marijuana that night.
Erickson received a 25-year sentence after pleading guilty to second-degree murder, first-degree robbery and armed criminal action.
In 2009, Erickson taped a sworn statement that he committed the robbery and murder alone. Erickson testified at the 2012 evidentiary hearing that he had no memory of the killing whatsoever.
Trump, a janitor at the Columbia Daily Tribune at the time, saw two men the night of the killing and testified at the original trial that one of them was Ryan Ferguson. He recanted his testimony at the evidentiary hearing, stating he only identified Ryan Ferguson because he thought it was what the prosecutor, Kevin Crane, wanted. (Links are from the original. Emphasis added by me.)
I suspect that is what Kevin Crane wanted, maybe because he is a despicable SOB.
An innocent man -- a kid, really -- has lost nearly a decade of his life to a prosecutor who just wanted one more scalp on his belt. I am confident that Kevin Crane and the other attorneys in his office at the time will never suffer much in this world for what they have done. I am also confident that some bright day all these creeps who think nothing of ruining a few innocent lives in their quest for position and power will have to face a righteous Judge who has all the evidence in hand.
A Letter from Claire
Missouri Senator Claire McCaskill is concerned about her constituents and wants to meet with us to find out what we think.
An anonymous citizen's reasonable response:
Dear Mr. and Mrs. [Mushroom],My name is David Rauch and I am a staff member for U.S. Senator Claire McCaskill. On Tuesday, November 12, 2013, on behalf of the Senator, I will be hosting a "Kitchen Table Talk" in Buffalo at the O'Bannon Center (315 East Ramsey) from 10:30 a.m. to 11:30 a.m. The purpose of this meeting is to reach out to you, to listen to your thoughts and ideas about federal policies and legislation and to take them back to the Senator.These "Kitchen Table Talks" also serve, in part, to inform you of the services that are available through Senator McCaskill's regional offices. The Senator's staff throughout the state are able to assist you on a range of federal government issues. If you are currently having an issue with a federal agency, I will be happy to discuss that with you and put you in touch with the member of the Senator's staff best suited to help with your issue.Should you have any questions, please contact me at David_Rauch@mccaskill.senate.gov or by calling (417) 868-8745. I hope you will be able to join me in Buffalo on November 12th.Sincerely,David Rauch
Field Representative
U.S. Senator Claire McCaskill
An anonymous citizen's reasonable response:
Thank you, Mr. Rauch and Senator McCaskill, for the kind invitation. Unfortunately, the Senator would be highly unlikely to appreciate any input my wife and I would be able to provide, especially as regards the Senator’s vote in favor of the so-called “Affordable Care Act” which is already proving disastrous economically to thousands of Missourians. I have family members who are losing their insurance coverage because of this bill and the lies (“If you like your insurance, you can keep your insurance. Period.”) told by the President and by Senator McCaskill. If the Senator had listened to her constituents rather than using her “mom voice” on them, she would have voted against this mess and been hailed as a hero in Missouri and throughout the nation. However, as partisan loyalty trumps both the best interests of thecitizenssubjects and – apparently – reality, she could not do that.Meanwhile the private sector of the economy (you know, the part that actually produces for the parasites getting government checks to consume and waste) continues to languish because of the deficit and another irresponsible increase in the debt ceiling. Inflation grows as the Federal Reserve, via its ZIRP and QE policy, continues to enable the federal government’s ability to spend money in excess of its $2 trillion in annual revenues, buying votes in the urban centers and enriching its union and corporatist allies.Consequently, I, who might have been able to retire a few years early, will be working desperately to keep my job on November 12th at 10:30 am. I will be trying to keep my insurance, to help out my children and grandchildren, to save a little more to make up for the devastating effects of interest rates below 1% and exponential losses caused by inflation and taxes.But by all means, Mr. Rauch, I urge you and the staff and the security detail and the Senator to enjoy traveling around and livin’ la vida loca of the political and governmental elites. After all, you really are better and know better than us. You deserve it.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)